The Lakers sign Ron Artest, the Celtics sign Rasheed Wallace - chess anyone? Its far too early in the season, considering that the season hasn't started yet, to anoint an NBA Champion for 2010. But is there anyone that doesn't see these two meeting in next year's finals as a foregone conclusion? (Other than Cleveland fans who hope that Shaq will be enough to help LeBron or Orlando fans who for some reason think that they're better with Vince Carter than they were with Turkoglu)
Look at the landscape in the Western Conference. San Antonio's probably the biggest threat after signing Richard Jefferson. But they gave up some key defenders/role players and I still don't think they're better than the lakers. Next up the Denver Nuggets, a great team but other than a little increased chemistry with Chauncey Billups, they probably won't be much better than last year. Houston is pretty much out of the picture seeing that Yao is out for the season and no guarantees with the oft-injured McGrady. Who's left? Portland? They are a good team and, make no mistake, in another 3 years they will probably own the Western Conference. But they're still too young.
Now look at the landscape of the Eastern Conference. Cleveland is probably the biggest threat to Boston with the addition of the mighty Shaq-Diesel. I predict that Cleveland will be very scary early in the season with this combination, but in the playoffs I don't think they could take Boston in 7 (assuming all the Celtics are healthy). By default, next up is Orlando. They had a great season and they will be tough but I don't think that pick and roll will work as well with Carter as it did with the extremely versatile Turkoglu. I actually think Detroit will make some noise in the East this year having added Ben Gordon, Charlie Villanueva and Chris Wilcox. But still...they won't touch the Celtics.
Of the two, it looks like the Lakers would have the easiest march to the Finals. 2 years ago the Celtics embarrassed the Lakers in the Finals. (I can say this because I'm actually a Lakers fan) But there is every reason to believe that if the Celtics and Lakers do meet again, the outcome will be quite different.
First of all, the Lakers lost because they were not tough on the interior. That has changed with Bynum being healthy again. Also, Odom disappeared during the playoffs and Gasol disappeared during the finals that year. In last year's playoffs both Odom and Gasol were great in almost every game. Even though the Lakers lost Ariza, they gained one of the best enigmas in the game. Ron Artest is tough mentally and physically, he defends, he rebounds and he scores. Imagine this line-up: Fish, Kobe, Artest, Gasol, Bynum. Perhaps the greatest move off season was the re-signing of Odom. A 6-10 forward who can play the 3 or the 4 and handle the ball. And with him coming off the bench (his best role if you ask me...which I will probably discuss in a later post) it creates a nightmare for the opposing coach. Have I mentioned Kobe yet, who is playing like a man possessed?
Granted, the signing of Sheed is huge. I could hear all the Celtics fans spilling their clam chowder as they shouted in triumph when the signing was announced...one of them actually called me. Rasheed, similar to Odom, is a versatile big man who can shoot. But when it comes down to it, an old team just got older. And what about their young guys? Leon Powe, Glen "Big Baby" Davis, even the swirl of trade rumors around Rajon Rondo. A lot of questions out there. Rondo, Ray Allen, Paul Perce, Sheed and Garnett are definitely a formidable five, although I don't necessarily think that Rasheed will start. But what's happening with their depth?
I will stick by my Lakers vs Celtics prediction and I'll make another one. The Lakers in 7. How bold is that? I'm sure I will hear from some Celtics fans so let me end with this rarely mentioned stat; Phil usually wins titles in 3's.